Browsing All Posts filed under »Risk«

AI is quietly (for now) breaking the Hyperscaler model.

March 14, 2026

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Following on the theme from my last missive, I believe the real prize in AI infrastructure is not datacentres, it is the orchestration layer. An orchestration layer built on a single foundational principle I have written about extensively – trust. Which is why Europe has a genuine opportunity to build the trust fabric for Artificial […]

Sovereign AI and the Cyber Risk of the Well-Governed Target

March 12, 2026

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Are we building sovereign AI infrastructure that is legally controlled but operationally fragile? The current conversation around sovereign AI is dominated by a sensible instinct, keep the models, data and compute that underpin critical national capability within national jurisdiction. Governments want AI infrastructure they control, regulate and can trust. Nice and tidy for the pen […]

Reducing Risk in High-Pressure Cybersecurity Environments

March 8, 2026

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As an avid fitness enthusiast, the modern ability to access personal metabolic and activity data has fascinated me ever since I first began exploring it more than 25 years ago. Anyone else remember the bulky Garmin Forerunner 101? How things have changed since then. With nearly half a lifetime of training data, now enriched by […]

Cyber Risk Is Not Normal; It Is Fat-Tailed, ‘Kurtotic’

March 3, 2026

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Further to my earlier piece on Cyber Tail Risk, some interesting discussions ensued digging into the actual nature of Cyber Tail Risk. As I have inferred earlier, in finance we learned the hard way that risk does not follow a neat bell curve. Before 2008, models suggested losses would cluster comfortably around the average. They […]

Hybrid Warfare & How Adversaries Train on Your Weaknesses

February 28, 2026

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An article that should not be ignored at any level of leadership – ‘Russia stepping up hybrid attacks, preparing for long standoff with West, Dutch intelligence warns‘. Whilst it talks to the current state of national Hybrid threats predominantly from Russia it has lessons for Organisations of any size operating in today’s digital threat landscape […]

AI, Cybersecurity & the Myth of Guaranteed Expansion

February 27, 2026

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As the market this week reacts to recent volatility in public cybersecurity stocks, many commentators are anchoring confidence in a familiar thesis: agentic AI expands the attack surface and therefore guarantees long-term growth for security vendors. It is appealing in its simplicity. It echoes every prior technology cycle,  more software, more surface area, more risk, […]

Who Do You Trust When Your Cyber Advisors Are Paid to Sell?

February 23, 2026

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Following my blog 2 weeks ago on ‘Cyber Tail risk‘, an interesting comment in response to the LinkedIn post for the blog spun off a side thread I felt worth tugging. To rebase the parallel theme I used in that earlier piece, before 2008, financial leaders were not short of warnings of what we now […]

From Buying Cyber Services to Buying Cyber Authority

February 21, 2026

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In my experience, few organisations procure cybersecurity as a coherent service. They buy fragments of it. A detection platform here. A testing engagement there. A compliance assurance cycle to keep auditors quiet. Cyber becomes a shopping list of services and tools, each optimised in isolation but disconnected from how the organisation actually governs risk, makes […]

Cyber Tail Risk – Designing for the Failure That Breaks Your Assumptions

February 15, 2026

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I have drawn parallels between finance and Cyber in pursuit of insights to risk and I lean on that once again following a discussion with a CEO of a financial services organisation on ‘tail risk’. I drew the picture that before 2008, banks believed their risk models, diversification, liquidity resilience strategies and controls were sufficient. […]

The Autonomy Attack Surface, Rethinking Security for Agentic AI

February 7, 2026

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The weekend has started with some novel phenomenon being reported in the news, a social media site designed exclusively for AI agents. Yes you read that correctly, AI agents have their own social media platform, wetware permitted at their peril. Apparently we can expect platforms like Moltbook to go viral as thousands, nay millions of […]

The Hidden Cost & More of the Digitally Engagement Economy

February 1, 2026

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To ban or not to ban, that is the question. Australia has lead the way with its ban on social media for under 16 year olds and opened minds to the detrimental impact of our poorly regulated digital society. Where the digital corporatocracy governs for commercial gain, through engineered distraction without boundaries, I believe they […]

Zero-Click, Zero-Alert, Zero-Chance, The Mobile Blind Spot

January 28, 2026

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Light-headed and sleep-deprived, sitting in Hong Kong (China) en-route to Osaka with three hours to kill, I found myself people-watching rather than sleeping. Around me was a familiar modern tableau, executives clutching the latest smartphones, a few stubborn laptops still in evidence, all of us quietly tethered to our digital lives. A question surfaced that […]

Why Good Boards Still Make Predictable Cyber Mistakes

January 19, 2026

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After years sitting with business leaders discussing cyber risk and supporting boards through the rollercoaster of incident responses, you start to notice patterns. Not technical ones human ones, that our minds quietly work against us, making cyber risk is as much about engineering around that as it is the technology and controls. Many of you […]

Is Sovereignty as a Service a Category Error We Need to Retire?

January 16, 2026

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I am starting to believe that ‘Sovereignty’ is becoming one of the most misused words in modern technology discourse. As digital infrastructure becomes geopolitical, vendors increasingly promise Sovereignty as a Service. The phrase is reassuring and often wrong. Let me start by providing some clarity, we need a clean and simple taxonomy. In the absence […]

Why Mature Minds Win in Cyber

January 10, 2026

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Following the two age related posts I have recently done, notably ‘The Most Expensive Bias in Business …‘ and ‘Practical Insights into Activating Cognitive Superpowers‘, a repeated question that has come up is in pursuit of examples that bring to life the generic references I have made. To which end and none better a subject […]